Probability Factor Formula

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The probability Factor is a term used to find the probability of a project getting completed in the expected time. Check FAQs
Z=Ts-teσ
Z - Probability Factor?Ts - Scheduled Time?te - Mean Time?σ - Standard Deviation?

Probability Factor Example

With values
With units
Only example

Here is how the Probability Factor equation looks like with Values.

Here is how the Probability Factor equation looks like with Units.

Here is how the Probability Factor equation looks like.

2.0301Edit=6.7Edit-4Edit1.33Edit
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Probability Factor Solution

Follow our step by step solution on how to calculate Probability Factor?

FIRST Step Consider the formula
Z=Ts-teσ
Next Step Substitute values of Variables
Z=6.7d-4d1.33
Next Step Prepare to Evaluate
Z=6.7-41.33
Next Step Evaluate
Z=2.03007518796993
LAST Step Rounding Answer
Z=2.0301

Probability Factor Formula Elements

Variables
Probability Factor
The probability Factor is a term used to find the probability of a project getting completed in the expected time.
Symbol: Z
Measurement: NAUnit: Unitless
Note: Value should be greater than 0.
Scheduled Time
Scheduled Time is the time which is made as per the experience and practice by the creator of the project.
Symbol: Ts
Measurement: TimeUnit: d
Note: Value should be greater than 0.
Mean Time
Mean Time, also called expected time is the time needed to complete an activity.
Symbol: te
Measurement: TimeUnit: d
Note: Value should be greater than 0.
Standard Deviation
The Standard Deviation is a measure of how spread out numbers are.
Symbol: σ
Measurement: NAUnit: Unitless
Note: Value should be greater than 0.

Other formulas in Project Evaluation and Review Technique category

​Go Mean or Expected Time
te=t0+(4tm)+tp6
​Go Optimistic Time given Expected Time
t0=(6te)-(4tm)-tp
​Go Pessimistic Time given Expected Time
tp=6te-t0-4tm
​Go Most Likely Time given Expected Time
tm=6te-t0-tp4

How to Evaluate Probability Factor?

Probability Factor evaluator uses Probability Factor = (Scheduled Time-Mean Time)/Standard Deviation to evaluate the Probability Factor, The Probability Factor formula is defined as a term used to find the probability of the occurrence of an event or completion of an event at an expected time. Probability Factor is denoted by Z symbol.

How to evaluate Probability Factor using this online evaluator? To use this online evaluator for Probability Factor, enter Scheduled Time (Ts), Mean Time (te) & Standard Deviation (σ) and hit the calculate button.

FAQs on Probability Factor

What is the formula to find Probability Factor?
The formula of Probability Factor is expressed as Probability Factor = (Scheduled Time-Mean Time)/Standard Deviation. Here is an example- 2.030075 = (578880-345600)/1.33.
How to calculate Probability Factor?
With Scheduled Time (Ts), Mean Time (te) & Standard Deviation (σ) we can find Probability Factor using the formula - Probability Factor = (Scheduled Time-Mean Time)/Standard Deviation.
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